The Dynasty Digest: May 8, 2024

Chris Clegg breaks down everything you need to know from yesterday's MiLB action.

Another week of MiLB action is underway. A full slate of action took place on Tuesday from the complex all the way to Triple-A. Today’s digest has a ton of good information on both hitting and pitching prospects that you need to know for dynasty leagues.

MiLB Hitters

Brailer Guerrero, OF, TB, 17, FCL

Right off the top, we need to talk about Guerrero’s start to the 2024 season. On Tuesday, Guerrero collected four hits, and ended the day a double shy of the cycle with five RBI. There is some great footage on X from Eric_Birdland, so go check that out.

Guerrero’s home run left the bat at 109 mph yesterday, and by looking at his physical build, you would never guess he is 17 years old. Having a very advanced body, the power comes easily, as you might expect. But Guerrero also moves quite well for his size. Even after stumbling around second base on his triple, he still clocked a 12-second home-to-third, which is solid, all things considered. Guerrero also has three stolen bases in three games.

Guerrero signed the fifth-highest bonus of any international player in 2023, landing $3.7 million from the Rays as a 16-year-old. Don’t be surprised when his stock goes bananas this year. Invest now.

Jacob Wilson, SS, OAK, 22, AA

Wilson keeps hitting, and that is a good thing, considering this is what he is known for. A four-hit, one-walk day on Tuesday pushed his slash to .455/.473/.705 with three home runs and two stolen bases on the year. When you use the word advanced hit tool, that is Wilson.

In 2023, at Grand Canyon University, Wilson made contact on 95 percent of pitches and 98 percent of pitches in-zone, which is pretty much unheard of. But it came with just an 84 mph average exit velocity with metal and a 100 mph 90th percentile exit velocity. 

The contact skills carried right into a professional ball as Wilson posted a contact rate north of 90 percent in 2023 and you guessed it, he’s north of 90 percent again this year. His frame suggests that more power could be part of his game long-term, but Wilson will need to show improved exit velocities.

Given the low walk rate, you might assume that Wilson is swinging at everything, and that is the case. His swing rate is among the ten highest in all of baseball and it surprisingly comes with a 40 percent chase rate, something we did not see him do a lot in college. But in reality, it does not matter, considering how much contact he makes.

The questions that remain with Wilson are: Can he lift the ball and raise his exit velocities? If so, this becomes an interesting player. For now, he plays best in a points league.

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