Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects 2024

Milwaukee Brewers top dynasty prospects from Chris Clegg, inlcuding Jackson Chourio, Jacob Misiorowski, Brock Wilken, Jeferson Quero, and more.

Welcome to our team prospect rankings. Over the next two months, I will be pumping out team top 30 prospect rankings and evaluations for dynasty baseball. These reports are generated from live looks, film study, and advanced data analysis to bring you in-depth fantasy scouting reports on every player you need to know, with today’s being the Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects.

Not all 30 players in each writeup will be dynasty relevant, but many will, and if you play in a deep league, certainly most of the names will be worth knowing.

You can check out our previous Top Prospect Rankings:

Atlanta, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Washington, Chicago

The Milwaukee Brewers’ top prospects are loaded, especially at the top, but the farm system also has nice depth.

Each player has a detailed write-up on each. The top 10 rankings and writeups are free for all, but the rest of the top prospects are for paid subs. Get an edge in your dynasty leagues and get in on some of these players first!

Glossary:

FFG = Future Fantasy Grade - essentially, what is the likely long-term outcome for the prospect? This is always going to be more conservative. Handing out ace tags is not something I like to do. So this is a realistic outcome.

90th Peak = If the player hits their best-case outcome, what does it look like?

Variance = How risky is this player’s profile, and how likely are they to hit their likely outcome? Low variance is good; high means more risky.

Milwaukee Brewers Top Prospects

1. Jackson Chourio, OF, 19, 6’1”/170

Chourio made waves in the prospect community in 2022 as a young 18-year-old who completely skipped the Complex and headed off to Single-A Carolina, where he hit the ground running. Chourio made it to Double-A in 2022 and, between three levels, slashed .288/.342/.538 with 20 home runs, 55 extra base hits, and 16 stolen bases in 99 games, elevating his stock to one of the top prospects in baseball.

2023 was a tale of two halves, and to me, it was clear the tacky ball had a large effect on him in the first half as Chourio spent his season in Biloxi, part of the Southern League. In the first half, he hit just .249/.304/.410 with 11 home runs and 23 stolen bases. The swing-and-miss issues stemmed mostly from changeups, which were moving much more aggressively with the pre-tacked ball. His contact rate in the first half of 75 percent jumped to 81 percent in the second half as Chourio mashed and made his way to Triple-A, finishing the second half with a slash of .324/.379/.538 with 11 home runs in 57 games. 

Chourio already gets to big exit velocities and puts the ball out of the park to all fields. His average exit velocity hovered around 91 mph, while his 90th percentile exit velocity sat at 105 mph. Chourio has posted exit velocities as high as 113 mph, which is pretty impressive for his age, all while running hard-hit rates north of 55 percent. 

From a plate discipline standpoint, Chourio is quite aggressive and has shown the propensity to chase pitches out of the zone, but he makes up for it with the amount of contact that he makes. As previously mentioned, the contact rate jumped significantly in the second half, but was solid even with the tacky ball in play in the Southern League. It is worth noting that despite a high chase rate of 35 percent, he showed a much better feel in Triple-A, chasing just 22 percent of pitches out of the zone.

The pure upside with Chourio compares to any hitter in the Minors. There is power, a strong feel for contact, and the speed to steal 30 bases per season consistently. Considering the data and poise he has shown as a young prospect, it is fun to dream on the kind of player Chourio could become.

FFG: Top-10 Outfielder

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .280/.350 OBP/25 HR/45 SB

Variance: Medium

Buy/Sell: Buy/Hold

2. Jacob Misiorowski, RHP, 21, 6’7”/200

The Brewers identified Misiorowski as a high-upside arm out of Crowder College and took him in the second round of the 2022 draft. Some scouts immediately identified him as being one of the biggest steals of the draft due to the caliber of arsenal he had, and it began to show in the small sample of 2 games he pitched in in 2022. 

Misiorowski pumps a fastball that consistently reaches triple digits but plays up even more due to his release point and extension. The fastball averaged over 98 mph this season with elite ride up in the zone and over 12 inches of run.

The biggest swing-and-miss pitch for Misiorowski is a curveball that sits in the in the upper 80s with plenty of downward action but also gets 13-15 inches of sweeping action consistently. The curve gives hitters nightmares to try and prepare for both the fastball and ravenous curve. 

Misiorowski also throws a slider/cutter that sits in the low 90s, but gets up to 94 on occasion. The pitch is inconsistent in shape, sometimes looking like a slider, other times appearing more of a cutter, and sometimes he even gets arm side run to it. Even still, hitters struggled to make contact against it. 

He will flash a changeup on occasion, sitting in the lower 90s, but it is not often used. 

What you see is what you get with Misiorowski: a tall lanky arm, with a tough to pick up release point with some of the best stuff in the minors. He struggles to throw consistent strikes and posted a walk rate near 14 percent in 2023, which does present some reliever risk. The delivery comes with a lot of effort, and with the arm slot, you fear injury risk. But the upside makes it hard not to bet on Misiorowski becoming one of the most fun arms in baseball.

FFG: Ace Level stuff but Command Issues keep him SP2-3 Territory

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: 150 IP/3.30 ERA/185 K

Variance: High

Buy/Sell: Hold

3. Brock Wilken, 3B, 21, 6’4”/225

The Brewers’ 2023 first-rounder, Brock Wilken, was one of the most prolific power hitters in college baseball during his time at Wake Forest. The power was evident by the 31 home runs he mashed this season at Wake Forest, and the 71 career home runs he hit in 821 career plate appearances. He hit .345/.506/.807 this year, quieting some of the scouts' concerns about his hit tool. He can get passive at times, and it causes him to strike out more than his actual swing and miss, but the .506 OBP speaks volumes.

The strikeout rate dropped over six percentage points, and Wilken’s walk rate jumped over nine percentage points. The plate discipline stood out as Wilken chased just 11 percent of pitches at Wake Forest, putting him at the top of all college hitters. When you factor in making contact 77 percent of the time with a 95 mph average exit velocity and a 108 mph 90th percentile, you have the makings of an elite hitter. 

The performance carried right over into professional ball as Wilken made it to Double-A by season’s end and combined for a .285/.414/.473 slash between all levels. The contact rate carried over as well, coming in at 75 percent. Considering the exit velocities, if Wilken can sustain contact rates around the league average, he has massive upside. He will play up even more in an OBP league as well, given the plate discipline and walk rates. 

FFG: Power Hitting 3B

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .275/.345 OBP/30 HR/5 SB

Variance: Medium

Buy/Sell: Buy

4. Joey Ortiz, SS, 25, 5’9”/190

Everyone knows Joey Ortiz is a defensive wizard at shortstop and should certainly be able to translate anywhere else on the infield left of first base. What some miss is that the offensive skills are extremely good. He fought through injuries this past season but was still able to put up a 121 wRC+ in AAA over 389 plate appearances and also got his major league debut out of the way as an injury replacement for Ramon Urias.

The thing with Ortiz is that he almost never swings and misses. He has an excellent in-zone contact rate and he hits the ball incredibly hard. The bat improved significantly in 2023 to build on what was already a solid 2022.

His contact rate stayed consistent each of the last two years and checked in at 82.5 percent and jumped to 90 percent in zone.

Ortiz had a higher exit velocity (114.9) than anyone else in the Orioles organization that played at AAA in 2023 – that includes Heston Kjerstad and Coby Mayo while the average exit velocity of 90 mph and 90th percentile north of 105 both show above average or better power. It was a five mph jump in average exit velocity from 2022 to 2023 and over two mph in his 90th percentile exit velocity.

The problem is he chases too many pitches out of the zone and hits too many balls on the ground. That makes sense when you consider he has great bat-to-ball skills so as long as he can improve his swing decisions (something this player development system is known for) then his offensive profile should only improve. He already has a high floor thanks to his defense but the ceiling is a lot higher than most people suspect as well.

FFG: Sneaky Power/Speed SS

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .280/.350/20 HR/20 SB

Variance: Medium

Buy/Sell: Buy

5. Jeferson Quero, C, 21, 5’11”/215

Quero is going to rank higher on real-life prospect list than fantasy due to his strong defense behind the plate. That certainly has value for fantasy though because it increases his chances of sticking behind the plate and providing value at a more shallow position for fantasy purposes. 

At the plate, Quero shows a strong feel for contact, producing an 85 percent contact rate on pitches in the zone, and 75 percent overall, which for his age shows above-average or better contact skills.

Despite a simple toe-tap and a fairly flat swing, Quero has shown the ability to get to home run power and produces exit velocities that suggest he could get to above-average power in the future. He can be aggressive at times, but Quero has shown improvement in his chase rate with age, which is an encouraging sign. 

You could say that Quero is a 70 behind the plate with a 70 arm, and I would not argue. He feels like a safe lock to be the Brewers catcher of the future, and at the plate, he has made major strides and looks to be a strong contributor in all assets. I am not sure the dynasty hype has caught up yet, making him a strong investment.

FFG: 12-Team Caliber Catcher

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .270/.340 OBP/20 HR/5 SB

Variance: Low

Buy/Sell: Buy

6. Tyler Black, CI, 23, 5’10”/204

Black defies all odds of a corner infielder who has struggled to find a position throughout his career. Black is listed at 5’10” but looks taller and has an athletic frame. He has a massive leg kick from the left side of the plate with plenty of moving parts, but he still manages to post strong contact rates, with an 80 percent overall contact rate on the season and an in-zone rate of 87 percent. His chase rate of 18 percent is also quite impressive and shows strong plate discipline and the ability to take walks and post high OBPs. 

From a power standpoint, Black saw his numbers jump this year in both production and underlying data. After hitting just four home runs in 2022 between the regular season and the Arizona Fall League, Black mashed 18 in 2023 in 558 plate appearances. The exit velocities jumped in a big way, and while they were still closer to average, it was a huge jump from 2022. 

Black has excelled and progressed largely because of the strong athlete that he is. It showed up, especially on the base paths, as Black showcased his speed and strong stolen base instincts, stealing 55 bases in 2023. 

Despite not having a defensive home, Black’s bat could find a way to play. Given his speed and athleticism, you would hate to see first base be his long-term home, but it does seem like a possibility. At the plate, you can expect strong OBPs with respectable batting averages and a ton of damage on the base paths.

FFG: Speedy CI Bat with some Pop

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .280/.380 OBP/15 HR/30 SB

Variance: Medium

Buy/Sell: Sell

7. Luis Lara, OF, 19, 5’7”/155

Lara followed a similar path to Jackson Chourio in that he went straight from the Dominican Summer League to full-season ball, spending the entire season as an 18-year-old. Lara is small but has grown from a small 5’6” to closer to 5’9” now, possessing elite contact skills. He is quite an aggressive hitter, especially on pitches in the zone, but posting an overall contact rate of 83 percent with a 90 percent zone-contact rate. Considering he was an 18-year-old in full-season ball, these numbers are elite. 

Lara’s power remains a question, especially since he has a smaller frame, but the underlying numbers have looked decent. At this point, it is gap-to-gap power, but Lara does use the whole field well. As an 18-year-old, Lara posted exit velocities as high as 110 mph, which shows the power potential in his swing. While the power grades are still firmly below average at the moment, Lara seems like a good investment in a hitter who could go into full breakout mode in 2024 or 2025.

FFG: High Contact OF(Steven Kwan esq w/more pop)

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .285/.360 OBP/12 HR/30 SB

Variance: Low

Buy/Sell: Buy

8. Robert Gasser, LHP, 24, 6’0”/192

Gasser has been one of the more consistent arms in the minors since being drafted in the second round of the 2021 draft. He is a high-floor arm who has posted mid-to-upper 3’s ERA each year with around a strikeout per inning and respectable walk rates. Gasser throws plenty of strikes with all of his pitches, with, surprisingly, his four-seamer having the highest ball rate of any of his six pitches.

Yes, you read that right; Gasser has six pitches that he used above a ten percent clip in 2023, leading with his four-seam fastball, which he used nearly 30 percent of the time. The pitch sits between 92 and 93 mph, generating a 14 percent swinging strike rate. Gasser also mixes in a two-seamer in the same velocity band, but a different movement pattern, and added a cutter, which he used second most often among all pitches in 2023. The sinker averaged over 16 inches of horizontal break, giving it a nice distinct from the four-seam despite being in the same velo band.

 Gasser has a decent changeup, but the problem is that it has minimum separation from the fastball. His slider is his best secondary, garnering up to 19 inches of horizontal movement, and Gasser shows comfortability throwing it to both-handed hitters. Gasser can also pull way back to the upper 70s and low 80s with a curveball that has a distinct shape from the slider. 

With the Brewers moving on from Brandon Woodruff and having openings in the rotation, it seems Gasser could have a rotation spot out of Spring Training in 2024. 

FFG: High-Floord SP4

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: 170 IP/3.60 ERA/170 K

Variance: Medium

Buy/Sell: Buy

9. Luke Adams, CI, 19, 6’4”/210

When watching Adams set up and swing, you probably would not expect him to get the results he does. Standing at 6’4”, Adams has a strong frame and gets results as well, as he hit 11 home runs with 32 extra-base hits across 99 Single-A games in 2023. Adams slashed .233/.400/.401 which leaves a lot to be desired outside of his strong OBP, but the underlying numbers look good.

Adams posted a 90th percentile exit velocity north of 105 mph to pair with an 83 percent zone-contact rate and an overall contact rate of 77 percent, all while chasing under 20 percent of pitches out of the zone. Two other Minor League hitters posted that kind of data last season, Wyatt Langford and Eduard Julien.

While the swing is funky, and there are questions about how it will play against advanced pitching, Adams did everything he could to silence those questions in 2023.

FFG: High OBP CI

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .260/.360 OBP/15 HR/25 SB

Variance: High

Buy/Sell: Sell

10. Cooper Pratt, SS, 19, 6’4”/195

Pratt has a big, athletic frame at 6’4”/195 lb with a mighty swing. He is a good athlete and moves well for size, posting solid run times while also showing a good feel for contact. Power will be the carrying tool for Pratt, though, as he has shown a good feel for the barrel and big-time exit velocities.

Scouts have raved about his work ethic and how much he stands out with in-person looks. The frame is highly athletic and still has projection left. 

Since debuting at the Complex level, Pratt has impressed with his bat. The sixth-rounder signed for over four times his pick's slow value, showing how much the Brewers like the upside here. In 12 games played professionally, Pratt slashed .356/.426/.444, setting himself up to be a massive breakout in 2023.

FFG: Power Hitting SS

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .275/.350 OBP/30 HR/7 SB

Variance: High

Buy/Sell: Buy

11. Carlos F Rodriguez, RHP, 21, 6’0”/205

Since being drafted in the 6th round of the 2021 MLB Draft out of Florida SouthWestern State College, Rodriguez has done nothing but shove. A strong season in 2023 saw Rodriguez post a 2.88 ERA across 128.1 innings with 158 strikeouts and 57 walks. 

From an arsenal standpoint, Rodriguez features a fastball that sits anywhere between 90 and 95 mph with two variations in his four-seam and sinker. Rodriguez’s changeup is comfortably plus, averaging over 17 inches of fade on it while sitting in the mid-80s. He is comfortable throwing to both-handed hitters, but the change is particularly devastating to left-handed batters.

Rodriguez features a slider that sits near 80 mph as well as a mid-70s curveball that is not used as often. On occasion, Rodriguez throws a cutter, which plays well between his fastball and slider.

Despite being shorter, Rodriguez has a solid build and can handle a starter’s workload. While the walk rate is manageable, the strike percentage is a bit concerning, coming in just north of 60 percent. Despite that, it feels as if Rodriguez is a starter long-term and should have a shot at getting some starts in Milwaukee down the stretch in 2024 if all goes well in Triple-A to begin the season.

FFG: SP4-5

90th Percentile Peak Outcome: 150 IP/3.80 ERA/165 K

Variance: High

Buy/Sell: Hold

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