Live From The Arizona Fall League: 11/6/2026

Salt River Rafters (Rhys)

Ross Dunn, LHP, Minnesota Twins (3.2 IP/3 H/2 ER/2 BB/6 K)

Ross Dunn was carving against Peoria, going 3.2 innings of work, punching out 6 and getting 14 whiffs in the process. He is headlined by a strong changeup, and some hope that the fastball velocity will take a jump.

Dunn’s changeup is what you want to see shape-wise; it has 0 inches of IVB, so he kills any sort of loft on it, and he gets 10 inches of fade on the offering. This, paired with how well he deceives batters by throwing it with the same arm speed as the fastball, gives him a potential above-average to plus changeup. The velocity separation off the fastball is fine; it was about 6 mph, which is solid, though you obviously want more. The fastball velocity, especially in this one, leaves something to be desired.

I wouldn’t be opposed to seeing the Twins stretch out Ross, he has a good changeup, and the slider flashes as a solid pitch. There is enough polish here that shuttering him to the bullpen is a bit of a head-scratching choice. If we see some more velocity (though being left-handed makes velocity less of a deal-breaker), there is a chance here for a back-end starter.

Mesa Solar Sox (Beck)

Arjun Nimmala, SS, Los Angeles Angels (2-3, 2 2B, 2 BB, SB)

Nimmala was the best player on the field on Thursday. That’s not unusual, but neither team had much going on offensively. The budding Angels’ prospect was one of three batters with two hits and the only player with two extra-base hits with a pair of doubles. He reached four times and came around to score twice.

He’s starting to pick up some momentum. He was fantastic after the deadline trade that sent him to Anaheim in exchange for Jose Soriano, and he’s been stellar in this circuit. He’s an impressive athlete and clearly still has room for good strength. His arrow is pointing up.

Kyle Robinson, RHP, Los Angeles Angels (4.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 K)

It has to be a genuinely miserable experience to pitch in the Arizona Fall League. The defense is questionable at best, the run game is virtually unstoppable, the ball soars, and it’s hot. Robinson wasn’t particularly sharp in the regular season — he carried a 5.74 ERA across more than 100 innings — but he’s been about the same arm out here and his results have been far, far worse.

In fairness, he’s only thrown a few more than a dozen innings. Anything can happen in that sample, including a perfect four innings on a sunny day in Glendale. He completely shut down the Desert Dogs, coaxing ground balls in between punch outs. His stuff doesn’t jump off the page on Savant, but I’ll tip my hat for a nice shift on the bump.

Surprise Saguaros (Rhys)

Welbyn Francisca, SS, Cleveland Guardians (2/3 HR)

Welbyn Francisca is hitting his way into potentially winning the AFL MVP, hitting a cool .420 with 4 homers, as he just mashed his 4th homer down there off an 82 mph breaking ball.

Francisca will be an interesting prospect to follow. I still don’t think he is as good as he showed out this season across the minors and the AFL, so I think this might be the perfect time to get out. But there is an avenue for playing time if the Guards want to explore it. He can play shortstop and can compete with Rocchio in the very near term.

I just have questions about the overall shape of what Francisca’s fantasy production will be. He is a bit of an aggressive swinger, and I just don’t buy his 19 homers this year. If you can flip him for a major league piece or a surefire top 100 prospect with more upside, I think you gotta do it.

Scottsdale Scorpions (Rhys)

Nathan Flewelling, C, Tampa Bay Rays (2/3, 2 Hard Hit BBE)

Flewelling has played well in the fall league, making a solid amount of contact, albeit not a ton of slugging. He is currently hitting .293/.404/.320 and in this game in particular he collected two singles, including one batted ball event that went 101 mph off the bat.

Flewelling has done what you want to see from him in the batter's box; he has posted good EVs including a 111 mph max EV during his time in the fall league. He is making contact, and while there isn’t much in the way of extra-base contact, that would normalize if we had a bigger sample. I have not heard great things about the defense, but it’s not easy catching in the fall leagues and it is not as if we are expecting Flewelling to be a Gold Glover behind the dish.

Dakota Jordan, OF, San Francisco Giants (1/4, 2 Hard Hit BBE)

I have always liked Dakota Jordan, even after a scout told me he will swing and miss at pitches in batting practice. Because there is some power and speed here, and the Giants are badly in need of that in their lineup, and just more good players in general.

Dakota Jordan has shown off the power with two hard hit batted ball events. A 98.6 mph batted ball event that resulted in a flyout and a 98.9 mph batted ball event that resulted in a double were the headliners of the day for Dakota Jordan. I would assume we see Jordan in Double-A to start the season with a good chance we see him in the majors before the season ends, if we get a normal season or something close to it.

Peoria Javelinas (Rhys)

Tai Peete, OF, St. Louis Cardinals (3/3 2 Hard Hit BBE)

Tai Peete having a standout AFL was not what I expected, but I am here for it as someone who liked Tai Peete a lot when he was a Mariners prospect. Peete might be someone I actually look to buy because of his performances in the AFL. 

Peete’s power and speed have always been there but I think very sneakily going from the M’s to the Cards was a big win for him. They got him to be more aggressive in the zone, and while he does border on too aggressive, that bump in aggression has resulted in his power and speed coming into play more often. There is a chance he is getting some run with the big league club in the second-half of the year, given that the starting CF for the Cards would be Nathan Church (who I liked as a prospect). 

The Cards are still in the cycling guys through to see who will be part of the next great Cardinals team, and I think that might allow us to see Peete as soon as next year, because they need to figure out which one of the myriad of left-handed hitters who might play center field for them is gonna be the guy for them.

Glendale Desert Dogs (Beck)

Emmett Olson, LHP, Miami Marlins (4.0 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K)

Truth be told, Olson is here because his team did virtually nothing at the plate. He’s a soft-tossing lefty in spite of his size (he’s listed at 6-foot-4, 230 lbs) with a fastball that sat 90-92 MPH, but he was able to mix and match enough to keep hitters off balance. His broad arsenal is his biggest strength.

His best pitches are his changeup and curveball, both of which play well off the heater. The bender was particularly good at freezing unsuspecting hitters, often used to steal a strike when needed. If he’s able to build strength and sit mid-90’s, perhaps there’s a future as a back-of-the-rotation option.