With dynasty season ramping up, it is time to talk about some sleepers, breakouts, and busts for each team. You can find our rankings and reports to see how we at the Dynasty Dugout value players for your dynasty leagues, but I also feel like it’s helpful to truly identify whether I believe a player can be a breakout or not. Here is where we call our shots on players, I think, require a call to action in dynasty, whether it be to buy or sell that player.

Colorado Rockies Dynasty Sleepers, Breakouts, and Busts

MLB Sleeper: Hunter Goodman, OF

Goodman is coming off a season that saw him mash 34 Minor League home runs before a 23-game cup of coffee in the Majors. Yes, there are some contact issues, but some of that can be masked by the fact he will play in Coors Field, and the rates are much better in the zone.

Having big-time power, Goodman posted a 90th percentile exit velocity of 107 mph and an average exit velocity north of 91 mph. He could be a legit threat for 25 home runs in 2024, and while he likely won’t have catcher eligibility anymore in most leagues, that is still good value from the outfield, and Goodman won’t cost you much of anything to acquire.

MLB Breakout: Ezequiel Tovar, SS

Tovar spent the entire season in the Majors last season as a 21-year-old and put up pretty solid results, hitting 15 home runs and stealing 11 bases in 615 plate appearances.

Having a hyper-aggressive approach, Tovar is prone to chasing pitchers out of the zone, leaving him especially vulnerable to breaking balls, which he had a 40 percent whiff rate against last year.

When it comes to fastballs, however, Tovar handles them well, posting a .309 batting average against them while having a 76 percent contact rate. If the breaking ball stuff improves, he could be a 20/20 potential bat.

MLB Bust: Nolan Jones, OF

This may come as a shock to some, especially with Jones coming off a 20 home run/20 stolen base season in 424 plate appearances. In the process Jones slashed .297/.389/.542, in what was an incredible season.

So why would Jones bust? He hits the ball hard, had a 94th percentile barrel rate, and does not chase out of the zone often. Everything sounds pretty good, but when you look at the contact rates, it leaves major questions. His overall contact rate of 68 percent ranked 14th percentile among all hitters, and the zone contact rate of 71.5 percent was one of the worst in baseball.

While the tools are fun to dream of, the contact skills are the foundation of a player, and if he continues with the low rates, there is some bottom-out potential. I don’t see Jones being a complete bust as he does have home runs and stolen bases to fall back on, but with where he is being valued right now, I would cash out on him in dynasty leagues.

Prospect Sleeper: Drew Romo, C

I was a little low on Drew Romo before my reevaluation of him this offseason. I used to think Romo would not make a big impact with the bat, but it seems like I was a little low on the potential. With his bat from a catcher with a big arm and solid glove behind the dish.

The bar to be a successful fantasy catcher is not overly high, and when you factor in that Romo could play his home games in Coors Field, it gives a big boost to what is a solid contact profile. Romo is aggressive but has still walked at decent clips while keeping his strikeouts in check.

He had a power breakout in 2023 as he hit 13 home runs across 368 plate appearances in Double-A Hartford. Romo will spend the year as a 22-year-old who starts the season in Triple-A.

Prospect Breakout: Robert Calaz, OF

After making his professional debut in the Dominican Summer League in 2023, Calaz slashed .325/.423/.561 with seven home runs and 21 extra-base hits in 43 games. Calaz generates easy bat speed with a strong lower half, letting the power come to him.

The exit velocities were insanely high for someone who was 17 years old for most of the season. With the frame, you could easily see Calaz being a 25 home run bat for much of his career. Despite the powerful frame, Calaz also ran well, posts above-average clock times, and was successful on six out of six stolen base attempts in 2023.

The fantasy upside is highly appealing here, and Calaz is a player I want to bet on continuing to rocket up rankings in 2024 and beyond.