Chris Clegg's Top Fantasy Prospects: March Top 400
Chris Clegg works through his March update for his fantasy prospect rankings.
Some may ask why I am updating my top prospect list again when I just did in January. Well, as new info arises and I study players more, values move. In reality, dynasty values are constantly moving on players whether we like it or not. There is also perceived value, where players may value someone higher or lower based on recency bias, injuries, and other things. This creates buying opportunities for prospects.
Prospects are a significant part of playing in Dynasty Fantasy Baseball leagues. The more you play in dynasty leagues, the more likely you are to become addicted to prospects, or at least that’s how it worked for me. Many players develop prospect obsessions that they hold onto, hoping for them to excel at the big league level. Whether you draft prospects to build a great farm system or use them as trade chips, they are extremely valuable pieces for your dynasty league.
The Process
I often get asked what goes into my prospect rankings. My process begins with evaluating prospects on a team-by-team basis. I want to get my eyes on every player possible. It is a long process, but it is essential when ranking prospects. Live looks give you a different perspective than just watching games on MILB.TV, but you can gather plenty from watching film. I spend ample time watching every prospect I rank.
After evaluating players team by team, I then work on positional rankings. After working through the rankings positionally, I place the prospects on the overall list. The rankings are how I perceive their future value will turn out for dynasty league purposes. It is also how I would draft these players if I were in a prospect-only draft.
I recently was fortunate to gain access to MILB statcast and advanced metrics for every player. It has undoubtedly helped solidify what the eye test shows in many circumstances. It has also helped me identify some sleeper prospects who could be in for big 2023 seasons. I also can see which players struggle with high velocity or breaking balls. Do they chase too much? Yes, you can see that on film, but I also have the data to back that now. It’s helped shape the rankings for specific players.
After the top 500 is finished, I will write up why big movers moved either up or down.
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