Boston Red Sox Top Prospects 2024
Boston Red Sox top prospects for dynasty fantasy baseball, including Roman Anthony, Marcelo Mayer, Kyle Teel and many more.
Welcome to our team prospect rankings. Over the next two months, I will be pumping out team top prospect rankings and evaluations for dynasty baseball. These reports are generated from live looks, film study, and advanced data analysis to bring you in-depth fantasy scouting reports on every player you need to know, with today’s being the Boston Red Sox Top Prospects.
Not all 30 players in each writeup will be dynasty relevant, but many will, and if you play in a deep league, certainly most of the names will be worth knowing.
You can check out our previous Top Prospect Rankings:
Atlanta, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Washington, Chicago, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, St. Louis, Arizona, Los Angeles, Colorado, San Francisco, Baltimore
Each player has a detailed write-up. The top 10 rankings and writeups are free for all, but the rest of the top prospects are for paid subs. Get an edge in your dynasty leagues and get in on some of these players first! Let’s get to it: our Red Sox Top Prospect list.
Boston Red Sox Top Prospects
1. Roman Anthony, OF, 19, 6’2”/200
Few Minor Leaguers enjoyed the kind of breakout that Roman Anthony did in 2023 after he was selected in the second round of the 2022 draft. After a decent 42 games in Single-A Salem, at least from a numbers perspective, Anthony joined High-A Greenville, where he took off, posting a .294/.412/.569 slash with 12 home runs and 29 extra-base hits in 54 games. Anthony even ended the season in Double-A Portland, where he slashed .343/.477/.543 across ten games.
Anthony is tall and projectable, listed at 6’2”/200 lb, but I would argue he is taller than 6’2”, and his frame still looks like it has room to add muscle despite already being well-built. He has long legs and a solid upper half. Considering he just turned 19 in May, he has an impressive build.
A patient hitter, Anthony chased just 18 percent of pitches out of the zone, but that number trended upward towards the end of the season as he began to see more breaking balls consistently, one of his few struggles. The overall zone contact rate of 85 percent is impressive, however.
From a power standpoint, Anthony can mash and show big power to all fields. Registering an exit velocity as high as 112, I saw him hit it 440 feet to the pull side, but he also hit plenty of opposite-field home runs, showing his strength. The 90th percentile exit velocity of 106 mph shows plus power.
Anthony ran well and stole 16 bases last year, but most importantly covers a ton of ground in center field, giving him the ability to stick in the position long-term. The future is bright for Anthony, who could be a consistent above-average regular with plenty of All-Star Game appearances. He is not only the Red Sox top prospect, but one of the best prospects in all of baseball.
For a more in-depth scouting report, check out my article below
FFG: Top-15 OF
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .285/.370/30 HR/15 SB
Variance: Low
Buy/Sell: Buy
2. Marcelo Mayer, SS, 21, 6’2”/188
The former fourth overall pick in the 2021 draft fell into the Red Sox's lap after being labeled the top prospect in that draft class. He hit the ground running at the complex before posting a solid season in 2022 between Salem and Grenville.
Mayer has a strong frame for a shortstop with smooth actions in the field. At the plate, he shows a simple setup and a direct path to the ball with a solid feel for the barrel. His quick hands help generate plenty of bat speed, which has turned into solid exit velocities, especially to the pull side. He hits it to all fields well, but has not quite shown the opposite field power that Anthony has, but that is no issue. The exit velocities did take a step forward this year as Mayer posted a 103 mph 90th percentile in 2022 and that number jumped to 105 in 2023 with a max of 112 mph.
The contact was a question mark coming into 2023 as Mayer posted a 78 percent zone contact rate and a 68 percent overall contact rate in 2022, but those numbers also showed improvement.
A shoulder injury happened during a slider on May 7, affecting him as the numbers dropped. Before the injury, Mayer was slashing .337/.414/.582 with a 21.6 percent strikeout and 74 percent contact rate. Post injury, Mayer slashed just .190/.253/.366 with a 26 percent strikeout rate and a 71 percent contact rate. This could be a great time to buy Mayer in a dynasty league as some upside still remains, but 2024 will be a big development year as the former Red Sox top prospect has a chance to bounce back in a big way.
FFG: Top-15 SS
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .280/.370/25 HR/5 SB
Variance: Medium
Buy/Sell: Buy
3. Kyle Teel, C, 21, 6’1”/190
The Red Sox had Kyle Teel fall into their lap at 14 overall in the 2023 draft, one of the highest floor catchers in the last few draft classes. Teel spent just three games at the complex before skipping Single-A completely and was shipped off to High-A Greenville. 14 games later, Teel moved up to Double-A Portland to end the season.
Teel brings strong bat-to-ball skills and a great eye at the plate, creating high OBPs. For his career at Virginia, Teel posted a .433 OBP, but during his 2023 season he posted an impressive .407/.475/.655 slash line. He has some sneaky power thanks to a quick bat and hands, and could hit 20 home runs per season. Teel has quick pop times and catches a high amount of runners attempting to steal which helps his chances of sticking behind the plate.
His swing and stride can get a bit long at times, but it has not affected his contact ability to this point. The profile suggests hit over power, but Teel is also capable of getting into solid power, especially to the pull side. Teel is a strong athlete and gives 110 percent on every play, and I have seen him turn singles into doubles because of the hustle.
A plus catcher behind the plate could lead him to be on the fast track to the Majors where his defense behind the dish could already play. If the bat continues to develop, it would not surprise me to see Teel in All-Star games in the future, being the Red Sox catcher of the future.
FFG: Top-10 C
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .285/.370/18 HR/2 SB
Variance: Low
Buy/Sell: Buy
4. Ceddane Rafaela, OF, 23, 5’9”/165
Rafaela is a Gold Glove caliber center fielder who also plays a plus shortstop, the epitome of a strong athlete. While the glove does not matter as much for fantasy, it does from the standpoint of Rafaela being able to keep the Boston everyday centerfield job.
He has always been a fun offensive profile, but the power really ticked up in 2023, and despite being smaller, he posted a 104 mph 90th percentile exit velocity that led to a 22 home run season that followed 21 home runs in 2022.
Speed is the biggest asset to Rafaela’s game, as he covers a ton of ground in the outfield but also easily steals bases. After stealing 28 in 2022, he saw that number jump to 39 in 2023.
He is rather aggressive, posting chase rates around 40 percent for two straight seasons, which he has gotten away with to this point, but the overall contact rates below 70 percent are concerning. He counteracted it with an 85 percent zone contact rate, but the chase rate still gives some pause.
Rafaela should be locked into the centerfield role for the Red Sox with the potential to make an impact on all parts of the game for fantasy purposes. The batting average may be suspect, and he certainly plays down in an OBP format, but the power and speed are fun to dream of.
FFG: High-End Stolen Bases w/Sneaky Pop CF
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .270/.330/18 HR/30 SB
Variance: Very High
Buy/Sell: Hold
5. Miguel Bleis, OF, 19, 6’2”/170
While many have forgotten about Bleis after all the hype that surrounded him coming into 2023, the talent still remains. After signing for $1.5 million in 2021, Bleis had a strong DSL but really began to take off at the complex in 2022, slashing .301/.353/.543 with five home runs and 23 extra-base hits in 40 games. His 2023 season ended after just 31 games due to a shoulder injury.
At 18 years old at the complex, Bleis posted a 104 mph 90th percentile exit velocity, which was already above MLB average to pair with an 89 mph average exit velocity. The power may develop firmly into the plus territory.
The contact skills have shown to be solid at times, despite Bleis being a free swinger and not taking many walks.
He is a strong athlete and has clocked plus run times as well. It has shown on the base paths as Bleis has stolen 29 bases in 36 attempts in 70 games between 2022 and 2023.
What Bleis will look like upon return in 2024 is still to be seen, and there are plenty of risk factors, but Bleis is also a player that, if he hits, could skyrocket up rankings.
FFG: Power/Speed OF
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .270/.340/30 HR/20 SB
Variance: High
Buy/Sell: Buy
6. Wilyer Abreu, OF, 24, 5’10”/215
Abreu is small and compact but can pack a punch from the left side of the plate. In Triple-A in 2023, Abreu posted a slash of .274/.391/.538 with 22 home runs and eight stolen bases, earning a promotion to Boston, where he played 28 games and just stayed under the threshold to keep prospects eligibility for 2024.
Built like a bowling ball, Abreu posted strong exit velocities and hard-hit numbers, clocking in with a 90 mph average exit velocity and a 104 mph 90th percentile. His 50 percent hard-hit rate also jumps off the page while posting ideal launch angles, helping generate a barrel rate north of 12 percent.
Abreu is also a disciplined hitter, not chasing pitches out of the zone often, but attacking pitches in the zone with authority and posting a solid 85 percent zone contact rate.
The lefty handles all pitch types well and can get into power. There is potential for him to be a regular in a corner outfield spot long term. While some believe a platoon is likely, Abreu still managed to post a .739 OPS against lefties.
FFG: High OBP OF
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .270/.370/25 HR/8 SB
Variance: Low
Buy/Sell: Buy
7. Blaze Jordan, 1B, 21, 6’2”/205
Jordan has been a known name in baseball since he was a young teenager, known especially for blasting a 500-foot home run at the age of 13. He reclassified and became one of the youngest players in the 2020 draft class where the Red Sox selected him in the third round.
It is worth noting that Jordan is down nearly 20 pounds this offseason and is still working to get slimmer.
2023 saw Jordan completely change his profile and seemingly give up power for contact. His overall contact rate jumped from 71 percent to 77 percent, while the in-zone contact rate jumped from 81 to 85 percent. In the process, Jordan saw both his average and 90th percentile exit velocities trending in the wrong direction. For someone you would classify as a power hitter, an 85 mph average is not overly impressive. The 104 90th percentile still shows Jordan can get to higher-end power, though. I have also seen Jordan hit the longest home run I have ever seen in person, so the raw power remains.
2024 will be telling. Will Jordan’s weight loss be to better athleticism? What kind of profile do we see? Can he blend the contact improvements with his high-end power? And if so, can he lift the ball enough to become a 30 home run bat? The upside is there for Jordan to be a power hitting corner infield, it’s just tapping into those skills.
FFG: Power Hitting CI
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: .270/.335/30 HR/3 SB
Variance: High
Buy/Sell: Hold/Buy
8. Luis Perales, RHP, 20, 6’1”/160
After dominating in Single-A Salem for 13 starts, Perales was promoted to High-A Greenville where he became prone to home run balls. He pitched a 3.21 ERA with Salem but saw that jump to a 4.95 ERA in Greenville across eight starts. Despite the performance, I saw a lot to like with Perales, including a fastball that is the best in the system.
In most starts, Perales sits 95 with his fastball but has been up to 99 mph with 20 inches of IVB, playing extremely well up in the zone. The issue has largely been location. He can get into trouble when he leaves it over the heart of the plate as it becomes pretty flat.
Perales added a cutter this year, sitting around 90 mph, with inconsistent command. The slider is a solid pitch, sometimes slurvey, sitting 82-85 mph with nice shape. He causes batters to chase it out of the zone but can also get swings and misses in the zone.
He throws his changeup primarily to left-handed hitters, sitting 85-87 mph with late fade and depth. When it is on, it looks like a plus pitch.
The biggest issue in Perales's profile is the home runs, as he allowed eight in 36 innings in High-A Greenville. Most of those were just poorly commanded pitches, but the stuff is there for Perales to be a solid starting pitcher long-term.
For a in-depth breakdown of Perales, check out the link below
FFG: High-K/BB SP4-5
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: 140 IP/3.75 ERA/160 K
Variance: High
Buy/Sell: Buy
9. Wikelman Gonzalez, RHP, 21, 6’0”/167
Gonzalez possesses some of the best raw stuff in the system, and it showed with his 168 strikeouts in 111 innings. Signing for $250k in 2018, Gonzalez has steadily improved his stuff each year and had his best season to date in 2023 as he threw a career-high 111 innings and posted his best ERA, checking in at 3.96.
Through his first four starts, Gonzalez allowed 15 earned runs across 8.2 innings and walked 16 batters. According to a report from Alex Speier, Gonzalez was dealing with anxiety, which led him to struggle to eat or sleep, affecting his performance. The team put a major focus on his mental health, and the results followed.
Gonzalez still had some bumpy starts, but over his final 21 starts, he posted a 2.98 ERA, averaged over five innings per start, and struck out 154 batters(36 percent). Walks and command have been an issue, but even the walk rate improved throughout the season.
The fastball made strides in 2023 sitting in the mid-90s and holding velocity deeper into starts. It generates plenty of ride when located up in the zone. Paired with an upper 70s downward-moving curveball, Gonzalez keeps hitters on their toes. When he snaps it off well, he buries it down in the zone and gets plenty of chase and whiffs.
The mid-to-upper 80s changeup gets late movement and fades, and while he throws it to both-handed batters, it’s more effective running away from lefties. The upper 80s slider/cutter still needs plenty of refinement.
The upside of Gonzlaez is a mid-rotation starter, and he has arguably the best arsenal in the entire system, but the command remains a question. He could also be a weapon in the back of a bullpen. He is a fun arm to invest in.
FFG: High-K/BB SP or High Leverage RP
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: 140 IP/3.50 ERA/160 K
Variance: High
Buy/Sell: Buy
10. Yordanny Monegro, RHP, 21, 6’4”/180
Monegro burst onto the scene in 2023 after a strong start at the Complex pushed him to Salem and then to Greenville to end the year. After pitching 65.2 innings, Monegro posted a 2.06 ERA and struck out 92 batters.
The fastball will need a little work this offseason as it sits 95 early in starters and fades to sitting 92-94 toward the end of starts. The velocity is not the issue as the shape is rather flat. It has not been an issue against lower-level hitters, but he could be hit around more as he moves up.
The curveball is Monegro’s bread and butter, though, sitting anywhere between 75 and 80 mph with a ton of downward movement. He will throw it in all counts and is comfortable landing it for called strikes at the top of the zone as we ll as getting chase below the zone. The spin rates are pretty advanced and Monegro is extremely comfortable throwing it.
Monegro does mix in a mid-80s slider that is inconsistent but misses bats. Sometimes, it shows sweeping action. Other times, it's a shorter break. But the fastball and curve are Monegro’s most used pitches.
Monegro is a pitcher I would call pretty raw and still learning how to pitch. There is a projectable frame and the potential to add more velocity to the fastball, but the shape still needs work. Improved command could take him from projecting as a backend starter to a mid-rotation guy pretty quickly. He could also bring back the changeup he was working on in Spring Training which would be exciting.
FFG: SP4-5
90th Percentile Peak Outcome: 150 IP/3.80 ERA/170 K
Variance: High
Buy/Sell: Buy
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