Arizona Fall League Recap: 10/21/2026

Salt River Rafters (Rhys)

Dax Kilby, SS, New York Yankees (2/5 HR, 2B)

Dax Kilby is one of the best performers in the AFL, and this is making me wonder if this accelerates the timeline ever so slightly for Kilby. Because if he is handling this level of pitching, which is somewhere between Double-A and Triple-A pitching, then why can’t he be trusted to go to Double-A to start next year and hold his own?

Kilby is hitting the ball and hitting it hard; in this game alone, he had 4 hard-hit batted balls. There was a homer that he pulled at 107 mph off the bat, but one of the more impressive things on the day was him hitting the ball the other way. He went oppo for his double on a pitch that was breaking towards the right-handed batter's box, and Kilby reached out and flicked it the other way at 109 mph off the bat. There is some hitterishness here that gets undersold because of just how dynamic of an athlete Kilby is.

Kilby has a chance to be awesome, and a lot of the noise around him was because he missed time with a hamstring injury. Kilby’s stock is firmly up; I would be looking to acquire him before other fantasy outlets start hyping him up, which, unless I am missing something because I am on social media less, there doesn’t seem to be as much hype for Kilby as there should be.

Jack O’Dowd, C, Colorado Rockies (2/5 2 HR)

Jack O’Dowd, son of Jeff O’Dowd, had himself a two-homer game. The former Indy Ball grinder had a quietly very good season, albeit he plays in the Rockies system so all but one of the ballparks in their system tends to lean as more hitter-friendly than not. But he was signed out of Indy Ball as a 25-year-old and made it all the way up to Double-A after starting the season in Single-A.

Jack O’Dowd hits the ball hard, as he was able to hit a batted ball 105 and 108 mph and turn both of those into homers. The question with him is where he ends up defensively. He played about 200 innings this year at catcher across three levels, then spent a large majority of his time at 1B. He even pitched in with a game at 2B. So there is some positional versatility here if we want to target him in fantasy. He probably best plays as a third catcher on a roster who can go play 1B. I like the bat here; I saw him early in the season and thought he could mash. There is at least above-average game power here, and with Coors being the rising tide that lifts all boats as far as average goes, maybe, just maybe, there is something here.

Peoria Javelinas (Rhys)

Vance Honeycutt, OF, Baltimore Orioles (1/3 HR, SB)

Vance Honeycutt is a frustrating player, much like building IKEA furniture is frustrating—as I am in the midst of day 3 of building something because the instructions aren’t clear, but I digress. There is so much fantasy upside here; he just needs to make more contact, which has been a problem… a big problem.

Honeycutt hit a 112 mph batted ball on his homer, showing off the power that we know is there. He also showed off his speed as he stole a base to give himself a combo meal on the day. While there are the usual power and speed displays, and it has only been a handful of games, we are seeing the warts of Honeycutt’s game. He has a .217 batting average, even with all the power and speed, due to the contact portion of the equation.

I wish he could make more contact because he could be a fantasy star. There is more than enough power and speed to be a 30/30 guy if he could ever just be a slightly below-league-average hitter. There is some sort of role for him somewhere, maybe as a platoon fourth outfielder. I am glad I didn’t walk away with him in any of my drafts.

Mesa Solar Sox (Chris)

Jake Bloss, RHP, Toronto Blue Jays (2.2 IP/1 H/1 ER/0 BB/6 K)

Bloss missed much of 2026 due to a right teres major strain, which can be a serious injury for pitchers. After debuting in the Majors back in 2024, Bloss has pitched just 63 total innings the last two seasons and has not pitched in a big league game since. Across his 39.1 innings this year, Bloss posted a bad 6.18 ERA, but that number was largely driven by an 11-earned-run outing where his manager left him out to dry.

On Tuesday, he was nearly perfect; the only hit he allowed was a home run, and he did not put a runner on via walk. Bloss struck out six batters and generated six whiffs.

The fastball velocity took a huge leap this year, and after sitting 93-94 mph, Bloss sat near 95-96 this year mph with 17 inches of IVB from his 5’8” release and a rather flat VAA. The slider sits 87-88 mph with seven inches of glove-side movement and close to zero IVB. Those two pitches were his best graded this year and also missed bats at a solid clip. Interestingly enough, Bloss toned it back to 82 mph on Tuesday and was throwing a frisbee sweeper with up to 19 inches of sweep.

What Savant classified as a cutter looked closer to what we saw in the slider during the regular season. The low-80s curveball is a two-plane breaker with negative 13 inches of IVB and five inches of sweep.

Bloss will run a 95 mph sinker in on hitters, and it is a distinct fastball from the four-seamer. He rounds out his arsenal with an 88 mph changeup with 13 inches of fade.

Breyson Guedez, OF, Athletics (1/4 109.3 mph BBE)

Guedez is the second-youngest player in the fall league, and his teammate, and it was somewhat a surprise that the Athletics sent him there. Guedez had so much pre-season buzz because the Athletics pushed him aggressively, skipping over the complex after a strong DSL season last year. Guedez struggled out of the gate but steadily improved all year and earned a promotion to High-A.

Blasting two High-A homers after his promotion, Guedez upped his total to eight on the year and ended the season with a slash of .299/.342/.431. The contact skills have been inconsistent, but better in High-A, but Guedez swings at everything. His 59 percent swing rate is one of the highest in baseball. It comes with pretty atrocious chase rates, too.

While Guedez had just one hit yesterday, a single, what stood out was someone his age blasting a 109.3 mph batted ball event. It shows the power potential is in there if the swing and chase rates can be cleaned up.

Surprise Saguaros (Beck)

Angeibel Gomez, OF, Kansas City Royals (2-4, 2B, R)

Gomez didn’t do anything particularly special on Tuesday other than be 17 years old and raise his fall batting average to .320 with a two-hit performance. His superlatives are worn out by this point in the calendar, and almost nothing he does this fall can change his projection as one of the most promising young players in all of baseball — whether he’s spectacularly good or spectacularly bad, he’ll remain extraordinarily sought-after in dynasty leagues.

He carried a 104.7 MPH EV90, 89.5% zone contact rate, and strong plate skills during the regular season. Those marks are rarely paralleled by players his age. He’s one of the 25 best prospects in the sport, and he’d be ranked much higher by all outlets if he weren’t so far from Major League contribution and had faced stateside competition. He’s as good a bet for future number one overall prospect as there is in baseball.

Brooks Bryan, C, Kansas City Royals (1-5, HR, 2 RBI, R)

Bryan, a 6-foot-2, 220lb bruiser taken in the eighth round of the 2025 draft, launched his second home run of the fall on Tuesday. His power is his calling card and he’ll need it to show up often to be a meaningful contributor at the big league level. He’s a below-average defensive catcher who spent half of his playing time in 2026 as the primary designated hitter for Low-A Columbia. His most likely outcome is as a back-up catcher with up pop, though he’s worth monitoring should he begin making more consistent contact and make strides as a defender.

Glendale Desert Dogs (Beck)

Owen Carey, OF, Atlanta Braves (2-3, 2 3B, 2 BB, 2 RBI, 2 R)

Carey was by far the most productive Desert Dog on Wednesday. While the team scored 10 runs, only he had more than one hit. Collectively, they drew more walks than hits. They’re loaded with talent, but their offensive “outburst” resulted in just their third win in 14 contests.

The Braves have three of the ten youngest participants in this year’s AFL between Briggs McKenzie, Tate Southisene, and Owen Carey (20). The latter is the least-regarded of the trio and has been pushed aggressively despite surface-level struggles. There’s an outcome where his athleticism, bat-speed, and all-around competence makes him a righty masher as a long-side platoon outfielder. His pair of triples raised his fall OPS to .903, and he has the prospect profile to generate real buzz with a strong campaign in Arizona.

Anson Aroz, C, Los Angeles Dodgers (1-4, RBI, R)

Aroz owned the hardest-hit baseball of the contest: a 109.9 MPH lineout to left field in the seventh inning. His RBI single was a 34.0 MPH tapper to third base. Baseball is a funny sport.

The 2025 19th-round pick is not a name often mentioned when discussing the Dodgers’ vaunted farm system. He was a force in college; over four years with the Oregon Ducks, he slashed .279/.389/.518 with 24 home runs in 464 plate appearances. He’s been roughly the same hitter as a professional, save for a distinct lack of in-game slug. He has promising tools, but a catcher buried this deep in a strong system doesn’t merit a pre-emptive pickup regardless of his fall performance (which has been lackluster as he’s just 2-17 with seven strikeouts in six games).

Scottsdale Scorpions (Chris)

Jett Williams, SS, Milwaukee Brewers (3/5 2B)

Williams paced the Scorpions with three hits on the day, including a 108.3 mph single on a line drive to left-center. He had another hard-hit ball on the double and was just shy of a third with a 94.8 mph single.

After being traded to the Brewers this year, Williams struggled, slashing .233/.340/.384 with just nine home runs and 21 stolen bases. He did miss time and wound up having just 359 plate appearances.

Williams maxed out at 109 mph on batted balls this year, so seeing a 108.3 was good news. The contact skills were still strong and Williams chased at just a 24 percent clip. The versatile glove makes him an attractive utility type player for the Brewers in 2027.

Nick Monistere, 2B, Houston Astros (2/4 2 HR)

A 2025 fourth-round pick by Houston, Monistere got just 223 plate appearances in 2026, split between Single-A and High-A. He hit two home runs and added nine doubles, but stole 20 bases on 23 attempts. The slash was a putrid .183/.295/.285. Monistere struck out in 32.7 percent of plate appearances and ran very poor contact rates.

Monistere blasted two home runs on Wednesday, reaching his season total from 2026. The homers left the bat with exit velocities of 108 mph and 105.3 mph. The 108 mph shot traveled 439 feet. I know the ball travels farther in Arizona, but 108 mph is 108 mph, and it was impressive to see from Monistere.